This Just In...
After all the fuss and bother made over the #ACATaxTime Special Enrollment Period by myself and others, the final number of QHP selections was announced in the most understated way possible:
From March 15 to April 30, 147,000 consumers signed up for coverage through http://t.co/... using the tax special enrollment period.
— HealthCare.gov (@HealthCareGov) May 19, 2015
No splashy press release, charts or graphs; just a simple number. In the end, while it was still f
ar lower than my original spitball take (600K+), it was also slightly higher than my
revised estimate of 135K - 140K.
Unfortunately, there's still no state-by-state breakout. However, combined with the other off-season/tax SEP numbers reported from (most) of the state exchanges, this (including today's Minnesota update of 64K QHPs) does bring the grand total number of confirmed 2015 QHP selections up to exactly: 11,995,315.
Technically speaking, they're still about 5,000 QHPs shy of the 12 million mark, but give me a break; this number doesn't include normal Off-Season Enrollments (via life changes) in nearly every state since 2/22 or the tax season SEP enrollments from a half-dozen state-based exchanges.
Therefore, it's quite safe to call it:
2015 ACA Exchange-based QHP Selections have officially broken the 12.0 million mark, with over 9.0 million coming from HealthCare.Gov.finally reach my personal Open Enrollment Period target of 12.5 million by the end of May.
Here's the update to The Graph, with both the new HC.gov and MNsure numbers added in (as always, click below for the full-sized version):